Active Incident
Confirmed: network disruption in Guatemala
Guatemala · January 9, 2026 · 52 days
IODA detected significant connectivity drop. 17 critical alerts recorded.
Evidence
1%
Anomaly Rate
1
Measurements
70%
Confidence
What This Means
1% of tests showed anomalies, above the typical 1-3% baseline. This suggests potential network interference.
How We Detected This
Data Sourceioda
ML ModelGradientBoosting v3.3 (LOCO median F1 0.87, honest across 127 countries)
Confidence Score70% certainty of censorship
Detection TimeJanuary 9, 2026
Corroborating Evidence (31)
Evidence collected from multiple independent sources. Upstream claims shown in quotes are not Voidly assertions.
IODAInternet Outage Detection & Analysis31 records
outage
"IODA detected critical level outage for Guatemala"— IODA report
Signal value: 0.01
Mar 3, 2026
View source →outage
"IODA detected critical level outage for Guatemala"— IODA report
Signal value: 0.77
Jan 21, 2026
View source →outage
"IODA detected critical level outage for Guatemala"— IODA report
Signal value: 0.83
Jan 21, 2026
View source →outage
"IODA detected critical level outage for Guatemala"— IODA report
Signal value: 0.89
Jan 21, 2026
View source →outage
"IODA detected critical level outage for Guatemala"— IODA report
Signal value: 0.89
Jan 21, 2026
View source →+ 26 more IODA records
What we cannot say
- Who caused it — measurement data alone does not attribute this to any government, ISP, or other actor.
- Intent — anomalous or unreachable measurements indicate interference, not a stated motive or a deliberate-vs-incidental determination.
- Which networks — no specific ASN/ISP is identified for this incident.
- The mechanism — we cannot state whether this was DNS tampering, TLS/SNI reset, an HTTP blockpage, throttling, or an infrastructure outage.
- Sub-national scope — measurement is aggregated at the country level; we cannot localize to a province, city, or network segment.
- Independent corroboration — this rests on a single source; treat it as a single-source signal, not a multi-source confirmation.
Cite This Incident
Voidly Research. (2026). Confirmed: network disruption in Guatemala [GT-2026-0001]. Voidly Global Censorship Index. https://voidly.ai/incident/GT-2026-0001