Active-learning candidate #6886
Sudan SD · Aug 11, 2026
The classifier predicted 48.2% probability of censorship for Sudan on Aug 11, 2026 — sitting just 1.8pp from the 0.5 decision threshold. Your label here closes the loop.
Probability
48%
above 0.5
Distance from 0.5
1.8pp
uncertainty gap
Resolution
open
not yet resolved
Consensus need
3+ votes
independent reviewers
Why this candidate was flagged
- · very close to threshold
- · not yet resolved
Top SHAP contributions
| Feature | SHAP | Direction |
|---|---|---|
| -0.033 | ||
| -0.016 | ||
| +0.016 |
Source: /v1/forecast/SD/7day
Recent incidents in Sudan
- Censorship detected in SDJul 28, 2026SD-2026-0178 · censorship · critical
- Internet connectivity disruption in SudanJul 23, 2026SD-2026-0144 · disruption · critical
- Internet connectivity disruption in SudanJul 12, 2026SD-2026-0113 · disruption · critical
- Internet connectivity disruption in SudanJun 20, 2026SD-2026-0046 · disruption · critical
- Censorship detected in SDJun 19, 2026SD-2026-0177 · censorship · critical
- Sustained censorship in SD (2026-06)Jun 1, 2026SD-2026-0031 · censorship · critical
- Censorship detected in SDMay 22, 2026SD-2026-0176 · censorship · critical
- Internet connectivity disruption in SudanMay 3, 2026SD-2026-0014 · disruption · critical
Suggest a label
Pick the outcome that actually happened on Aug 11, 2026 in Sudan. Anonymous; no login required. Three independent reviewers must agree before a label is promoted into the next retrain dataset.
Related
- /sd — full country page for Sudan
- /atlas/forecast/sd — 7-day forecast detail
- /sentinel/backtest/sd — per-country forecast accuracy
- /atlas/active-learning — back to the queue