voidly
Active Incident

Confirmed: internet outage in Ethiopia

Ethiopia · May 3, 2026 · 20 hours

IODA detected significant connectivity drop in Ethiopia. 9 critical alerts recorded.

Evidence

86%
Anomaly Rate
9
Measurements
70%
Confidence

What This Means

86% of 9 network tests from Ethiopia failed to reach these services. Global baseline failure rate is typically 1-3%. This 83+ percentage point difference strongly indicates intentional blocking.

How We Detected This

Data Sourceioda
ML ModelGradientBoosting v3.3 (LOCO median F1 0.87, honest across 127 countries)
Confidence Score70% certainty of censorship
Detection TimeMay 3, 2026

Corroborating Evidence (11)

Evidence collected from multiple independent sources. Upstream claims shown in quotes are not Voidly assertions.

IODAInternet Outage Detection & Analysis11 records
outage
"IODA detected critical level outage for Addis Ababa"IODA report
Signal value: 0.71
May 3, 2026
View source →
outage
"IODA detected critical level outage for Oromiya"IODA report
Signal value: 0.60
May 3, 2026
View source →
outage
"IODA detected critical level outage for Addis Ababa"IODA report
Signal value: 0.88
May 3, 2026
View source →
outage
"IODA detected critical level outage for Addis Ababa"IODA report
Signal value: 0.88
May 3, 2026
View source →
outage
"IODA detected critical level outage for Addis Ababa"IODA report
Signal value: 0.84
May 3, 2026
View source →
+ 6 more IODA records

What we cannot say

  • Who caused it — measurement data alone does not attribute this to any government, ISP, or other actor.
  • Intent — anomalous or unreachable measurements indicate interference, not a stated motive or a deliberate-vs-incidental determination.
  • Which networks — no specific ASN/ISP is identified for this incident.
  • The mechanism — we cannot state whether this was DNS tampering, TLS/SNI reset, an HTTP blockpage, throttling, or an infrastructure outage.
  • Sub-national scope — measurement is aggregated at the country level; we cannot localize to a province, city, or network segment.
  • Independent corroboration — this rests on a single source; treat it as a single-source signal, not a multi-source confirmation.

Cite This Incident

Voidly Research. (2026). Confirmed: internet outage in Ethiopia [ET-2026-0060]. Voidly Global Censorship Index. https://voidly.ai/incident/ET-2026-0060

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