Active Incident
Confirmed: network disruption in Turkmenistan
Turkmenistan · January 9, 2026 · 47 days
IODA detected significant connectivity drop. 1 critical alerts recorded. CenAlert confirms censorship activity.
Evidence
24%
Anomaly Rate
4
Measurements
70%
Confidence
What This Means
24% of tests showed anomalies, above the typical 1-3% baseline. This suggests potential network interference.
How We Detected This
Data Sourcecensoredplanet + ioda
ML ModelGradientBoosting v3.3 (LOCO median F1 0.87, honest across 127 countries)
Confidence Score70% certainty of censorship
Detection TimeJanuary 9, 2026
Corroborating Evidence (8)
Evidence collected from multiple independent sources. Upstream claims shown in quotes are not Voidly assertions.
IODAInternet Outage Detection & Analysis7 records
outage
"IODA detected critical level outage for Ahal"— IODA report
Signal value: 0.33
Feb 25, 2026
View source →outage
"IODA detected critical level outage for Ahal"— IODA report
Signal value: 0.24
Feb 25, 2026
View source →outage
"IODA detected critical level outage for Ahal"— IODA report
Signal value: 0.01
Feb 19, 2026
View source →outage
"IODA detected critical level outage for Ahal"— IODA report
Signal value: 0.01
Feb 19, 2026
View source →outage
"IODA detected critical level outage for Ahal"— IODA report
Signal value: 0.01
Feb 18, 2026
View source →+ 2 more IODA records
Censored PlanetUniversity of Michigan research1 record
interference
"unknown"— Censored Planet report
Signal value: 17.30
Jan 9, 2026
View source →What we cannot say
- Who caused it — measurement data alone does not attribute this to any government, ISP, or other actor.
- Intent — anomalous or unreachable measurements indicate interference, not a stated motive or a deliberate-vs-incidental determination.
- Which networks — no specific ASN/ISP is identified for this incident.
- The mechanism — we cannot state whether this was DNS tampering, TLS/SNI reset, an HTTP blockpage, throttling, or an infrastructure outage.
- Sub-national scope — measurement is aggregated at the country level; we cannot localize to a province, city, or network segment.
Cite This Incident
Voidly Research. (2026). Confirmed: network disruption in Turkmenistan [TM-2026-0002]. Voidly Global Censorship Index. https://voidly.ai/incident/TM-2026-0002