Active-learning candidate #6978
Iran IR · Aug 13, 2026
The classifier predicted 52.0% probability of censorship for Iran on Aug 13, 2026 — sitting just 2.0pp from the 0.5 decision threshold. Your label here closes the loop.
Probability
52%
above 0.5
Distance from 0.5
2.0pp
uncertainty gap
Resolution
open
not yet resolved
Consensus need
3+ votes
independent reviewers
Why this candidate was flagged
- · very close to threshold
- · not yet resolved
- · high volume country
- · recent drift
Top SHAP contributions
| Feature | SHAP | Direction |
|---|---|---|
| -0.078 | ||
| -0.050 | ||
| +0.046 |
Source: /v1/forecast/IR/7day
Recent incidents in Iran
No recent incidents on record for IR. Check /ir for the country page.
Suggest a label
Pick the outcome that actually happened on Aug 13, 2026 in Iran. Anonymous; no login required. Three independent reviewers must agree before a label is promoted into the next retrain dataset.
Related
- /ir — full country page for Iran
- /atlas/forecast/ir — 7-day forecast detail
- /sentinel/backtest/ir — per-country forecast accuracy
- /atlas/active-learning — back to the queue