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Atlas · AI-ready briefings

Today's briefings

One quotable paragraph per country, stitched from the calibrated forecast, recent incidents, top model drivers, and 7-day trend. Updated every 30 minutes. Each card has a link to the raw JSON for AI-agent consumption.

Source endpoint: /v1/atlas/explain/{country} · CC BY 4.0

HIGH · 95%

Pakistan censorship outlook

Risk band: HIGH — 95% max forecast over the next 7 days.

90% conformal interval: [60%, 100%].

Top model drivers: week_of_year (↓ 0.072), incident_count_7d (↑ 0.025), critical_incident_7d (↑ 0.018).

1 incidents detected in the last 24 hours (4 in the last 7 days).

Most recent: PK-2026-0441 — severity critical, observed 2026-06-14T00:00:00Z.

See /atlas/forecast/pk for the full calibrated forecast, /sentinel/backtest/pk for the prediction history, and /pk for the country profile.

HIGH · 63%

Uzbekistan censorship outlook

Risk band: HIGH — 63% max forecast over the next 7 days.

90% conformal interval: [28%, 98%].

Top model drivers: week_of_year (↓ 0.022), gdelt_unrest_30d (↓ 0.013), gdelt_conflict_tone_7d (↑ 0.007).

No new incidents in the last 24 hours; 2 over the past 7 days.

Most recent: UZ-2026-0146 — severity warning, observed 2026-06-11T00:00:00Z.

See /atlas/forecast/uz for the full calibrated forecast, /sentinel/backtest/uz for the prediction history, and /uz for the country profile.

ELEVATED · 44%

Egypt censorship outlook

Risk band: ELEVATED — 44% max forecast over the next 7 days.

90% conformal interval: [9%, 79%].

Top model drivers: week_of_year (↓ 0.058), incident_count_7d (↑ 0.026), block_rate_roll14_mean (↓ 0.025).

Risk trending UP: forecast moved +35 percentage points over the last week.

1 incidents detected in the last 24 hours (4 in the last 7 days).

Most recent: EG-2026-0417 — severity critical, observed 2026-06-14T00:00:00Z.

See /atlas/forecast/eg for the full calibrated forecast, /sentinel/backtest/eg for the prediction history, and /eg for the country profile.

LOW · 6%

Thailand censorship outlook

Risk band: LOW — 6% max forecast over the next 7 days.

90% conformal interval: [0%, 41%].

Top model drivers: week_of_year (↓ 0.054), gdelt_unrest_30d (↑ 0.024), block_rate_roll30_mean (↓ 0.017).

Risk trending UP: forecast moved +57 percentage points over the last week.

1 incidents detected in the last 24 hours (2 in the last 7 days).

Most recent: TH-2026-0153 — severity critical, observed 2026-06-14T00:00:00Z.

See /atlas/forecast/th for the full calibrated forecast, /sentinel/backtest/th for the prediction history, and /th for the country profile.

LOW · 5%

Belarus censorship outlook

Risk band: LOW — 5% max forecast over the next 7 days.

90% conformal interval: [0%, 40%].

Top model drivers: week_of_year (↓ 0.050), gdelt_conflict_tone_7d (↑ 0.037), recent_shutdown (↑ 0.031).

Risk trending UP: forecast moved +75 percentage points over the last week.

1 incidents detected in the last 24 hours (2 in the last 7 days).

Most recent: BY-2026-0308 — severity critical, observed 2026-06-14T00:00:00Z.

See /atlas/forecast/by for the full calibrated forecast, /sentinel/backtest/by for the prediction history, and /by for the country profile.

LOW · 4%

Kazakhstan censorship outlook

Risk band: LOW — 4% max forecast over the next 7 days.

90% conformal interval: [0%, 39%].

Top model drivers: week_of_year (↓ 0.026), critical_incident_7d (↑ 0.019), recent_shutdown (↑ 0.014).

Risk trending UP: forecast moved +56 percentage points over the last week.

No new incidents in the last 24 hours; 1 over the past 7 days.

Most recent: KZ-2026-0190 — severity critical, observed 2026-06-10T00:00:00Z.

See /atlas/forecast/kz for the full calibrated forecast, /sentinel/backtest/kz for the prediction history, and /kz for the country profile.

For AI agents

Each country's narrative is available at /v1/atlas/explain/{country} as JSON. Response shape:

{
  "schema": "voidly-atlas-explain/v1",
  "country": "IR",
  "country_name": "Iran",
  "headline_one_line": "Iran is currently in the HIGH band with a 7-day peak forecast of 89%",
  "markdown": "## Iran censorship outlook\n\n**Risk band: HIGH** — 89% max...",
  "structured": {
    "max_risk": 0.886,
    "max_risk_day": 7,
    "interval_90": [0.84, 0.93],
    "top_features": [...],
    "recent_incidents_24h": 0,
    "recent_incidents_7d": 5,
    "last_incident": {...},
    "trend_7d_delta": 0.799
  },
  "sources": { "endpoints_called": ["predict_risk", "incidents_table", "sentinel_forecasts"] }
}

Cache TTL: 15 min on the worker edge, 30 min ISR on this page. For a single-call dashboard digest aggregating all signals at once, use /v1/atlas/digest.

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